It's a six-way race for the Simple ORA lead at the break, as the top 6 are all within 13 ORA points of each other. The red-hot Mookie Betts has inched ahead of Matt Olson by one one-thousandth of a run, while Shohei Ohtani maintains a slim AL lead over Adolis Garcia.
The simple formulas are surprisingly accurate estimates of real Runs and Outs produced; still, any of these players (or even someone outside the Top 6) could conceivably be leading MLB in real ORA. We won't know until the season is over and the retrosheet files are released.
The simple formulas (ORA is the same formula whether it's real or simple ORA):
Runs = R*5/9 + RBI*4/9 + HR/12
Outs = AB - H + CS + GIDP + SH + SF
ORA = Runs / Outs * 27
Rk Player Runs Outs sORA
1 Mookie Betts, LAD 69.7 252 7.470
2 Matt Olson, ATL 73.3 265 7.469
3 Shohei Ohtani, LAA 69.2 252 7.42
4 Ronald Acuna Jr., ATL 70.1 256 7.39
5 Adolis Garcia, TEX 73.6 270 7.36
6 Freddie Freeman, LAD 68.5 252 7.34
7 Will Smith, LAD 46.0 177 7.01
8 Isaac Paredes, TBR 50.1 196 6.90
9 Corbin Carroll, ARI 57.8 227 6.88
10 Max Muncy, LAD 51.4 206 6.74
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